US officials see Taiwan invasion before 2028 as increasingly unlikely
The Continental · 2 October 2026
Heeheemalu · CC BY-SA 4.0 · archive image
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Reuters reports an assessment by sources familiar with US thinking.
US officials consider a Chinese invasion of Taiwan before 2028 increasingly unlikely, Reuters reported on 1 October, citing people familiar with their thinking. This is an assessment, not a guarantee. The report distinguishes Beijing’s military-readiness goals from a decision to attack. The Pentagon declined to comment, and China’s foreign ministry and embassy did not respond to the agency’s request.
Reuters · 1 October · security assessment attributed to sources · Reuters source credit · may require subscription
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